Problem 3.1 • If A and B are independent, then A and Bᶜ are also independent
If events A and B are independent, then A and Bᶜ (the complement of B) are also independent.
A and B are independent events.
Any event A can be split using B and Bᶜ:
These are disjoint, so probabilities add.
Using the addition rule for disjoint events:
Replace P(A ∩ B) using the independence condition:
Rearranging the equation:
Factor P(A) from the right side:
Since P(Bᶜ) = 1 − P(B):
This is the definition of independence! Q.E.D.
The Venn diagram shows how A is partitioned into (A∩B) and (A∩Bᶜ).
Independence is symmetric across complements. If knowing B doesn't help predict A, then knowing "not B" also doesn't help predict A.